01 / Starting context
What PairPilotFX knew at the time
At the 2026-09-28 decision cutoff, AUDCAD showed moderate relative-strength separation with CAD stronger than AUD, while D1 and H1 structure were in transition and H4 was bullish. Price was bracketed between untested H4 support at 0.99079 and H1 resistance at 0.99578. Macro coverage was incomplete, so execution was BLOCKED; this was not a trade signal.
02 / Selection
Why this pair was included or filtered
AUDCAD was included in the weekly universe. The deterministic execution gate remained blocked because complete major-event coverage was required before execution conditions could be evaluated.
03 / Lifecycle
What changed during the observation window
The persisted sequence was UNMAPPED at the starting snapshot; BLOCKED during EVENT_RISK; BLOCKED during MIXED event risk; then MONITOR during the POST_EVENT observation phase; and MONITOR after macro state became CLEAR. The monitor state during POST_EVENT still required the post-event risk window to clear. After macro became CLEAR, the outstanding condition was higher-timeframe structure resolving out of transition. Confirmation never occurred.
04 / Outcome
What price did afterward
This outcome was observed after the decision cutoff. Across 115 H1 bars, price ranged from 0.98394 to 0.99696 and ended at 0.99144 versus a 0.99321 anchor. Direction was UNRESOLVED, so no favourable or adverse scenario excursion was evaluated. Starting resistance at 0.99578 was touched and crossed beyond without a close beyond; starting support at 0.99079 was touched, crossed beyond, and had a close beyond. The observed endpoint displacement was small relative to the observed range, and no meaningful move was recorded.
05 / Accountability
What the process got right
Radar preserved the distinction between screening context and confirmation. It blocked evaluation while macro coverage was incomplete and through event-risk windows, then retained an observation posture when macro conditions improved because higher-timeframe structure remained TRANSITIONAL. The final evaluation supports this: the pair was included, but the required condition was not observed.
06 / Limitations
What remained weak, incomplete, or missed
The real limitation was unresolved higher-timeframe structure, alongside changing relative-strength states and event-risk conditions; these prevented a confirmed scenario. This is not a deterministic Radar miss: the supplied evaluation is NO_CONFIRMATION and assesses Radar as supported. No invalidation was observed, but neither was confirmation.
- The starting macro record was UNMAPPED because major-event coverage was incomplete.
- Direction remained UNRESOLVED, so scenario-relative excursion and support could not be evaluated.
- The review records observed market behaviour, not an executed trade or performance result.
07 / Lesson