01 / Starting context
What PairPilotFX knew at the time
At the 2026-09-28 decision cutoff, AUDUSD was UNMAPPED and execution was BLOCKED because major-event coverage for AUD and USD was incomplete. Historical relative strength, using the selected LEGACY source, showed STRONG_SEPARATION with USD stronger than AUD. D1 and H4 structure were bearish while H1 was bullish, leaving structure PARTIALLY_ALIGNED. Liquidity was NEAR_DECISION_AREA.
02 / Selection
Why this pair was included or filtered
AUDUSD was included in the weekly universe. The initial decision was to withhold execution evaluation until complete major-event coverage was available; no execution condition was confirmed.
03 / Lifecycle
What changed during the observation window
The persisted record moved from UNMAPPED to EVENT_RISK, then MIXED, then POST_EVENT observation, returned to EVENT_RISK, and ended in POST_EVENT observation. Strength remained STRONG_SEPARATION. Structure was PARTIALLY_ALIGNED in most snapshots, with one TRANSITIONAL snapshot. Execution was BLOCKED or OBSERVE throughout; confirmation never occurred.
04 / Outcome
What price did afterward
Evaluated afterward on H1 data, AUDUSD moved from 0.70189 to 0.69574. The observed low was 0.69040 and the high was 0.70394. The bearish scenario recorded meaningful movement and scenarioSupport=SUPPORTED. The starting 0.70040 support was touched, crossed, and observed to close beyond; the starting 0.70451 resistance was not touched.
05 / Accountability
What the process got right
The persisted historical strength record consistently maintained USD-over-AUD separation, and the prevailing structure context was mostly bearish. More importantly, Radar preserved the event-risk and post-event observation constraints instead of converting directional context into a confirmed execution condition.
06 / Limitations
What remained weak, incomplete, or missed
A real limitation at the decision cutoff was incomplete major-event coverage, which made the macro state UNMAPPED. Once coverage was available, overlapping high-impact event and post-event windows continued to constrain evaluation. This was not a deterministic Radar miss: the evaluation is NO_CONFIRMATION, confirmationOccurred=false, and no invalidation was recorded.
- The decision-cutoff macro record had incomplete major-event coverage for AUD and USD.
- High-impact event-risk and post-event observation windows persisted through the lifecycle.
- The outcome describes scenario-relative price movement only; no trade, entry, stop, target, P&L, or R-multiple was recorded.
- Later Currency Strength shadow evidence does not replace the historical LEGACY relative-strength source used by the persisted Radar record.
07 / Lesson